「我離港前到過一間精神科醫院。當時有位病人禮貌地問,一個以作為世上最悠久民主政體而自傲的國家,如何能夠將此地交給一個政治制度非常不同的國家,且既沒諮詢當地公民,又沒給予他們民主的前景,好讓他們捍衞自己的將來。一個隨行同事說,奇怪,香港提出最理智問題的人,竟在精神科醫院。」彭定康 金融時報

“During a visit to a mental hospital before I left Hong Kong, a patient politely asked me how a country that prided itself on being the oldest democracy in the world had come to be handing over his city to another country with a very different system of government, without either consulting the citizens or giving them the prospect of democracy to safeguard their future. Strange, said one of my aides, that the man with the sanest question in Hong Kong is in a mental hospital.”Chris Patten Financial Times

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Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Superbowl 49 2015 Feb 1 超級碗 - Part I

Superbowl 49 2015 Feb 1 超級碗 - Part I



美式足球 NFL 的秋季又到尾聲,全公司的球迷當然談論今年的 四強,分別是:


NFL 中的 AFC 美聯:
第一種籽 新英倫愛國者隊 New England Patriots (12-4-0)
第二種籽 丹佛野馬隊 Denver Broncos (12-4-0)

NFL 中的 NFC 國聯:
第一種籽 西雅圖海鷹隊 Seattle Seahawks(12-4-0)去屆的 盟主
第二種籽 綠灣包裝工隊 Green Bay Packers(12-4-0)


其實比賽 16週之後,除了上述四隊位置較固定,可以入到季後賽,但名次卻仍存在變數,有可能排名跌落第三第四名種籽,furthermore 第三四種籽和第五第六名外卡隊,仍然未明朗要打完最尾尾一週,第 17週賽事才可以找到誰,有份入到 playoffs 季後賽。


NFL Playoff Picture Week 17: Scenarios and Bracket --- Bleacher Report


Week 17 AFC Scenarios

Broncos Clinch First-Round Bye with:

Denver win vs. Oakland OR Denver tie vs. Oakland and Cincinnati loss or tie vs. Pittsburgh OR Cincinnati loss OR Cincinnati tie and Indianapolis win vs. Tennessee

Bengals Clinch AFC North with:

Cincinnati win vs. Pittsburgh

Bengals Clinch First-Round Bye with:

Cincinnati win and Denver loss or tie OR Cincinnati tie and losses by both Denver and Indianapolis

Steelers Clinch AFC North with:

Pittsburgh win vs. Cincinnati

Chargers Clinch Playoff Spot with:

San Diego win vs. Kansas City OR San Diego tie and Baltimore loss or tie vs. Cleveland

Ravens Clinch Playoff Spot with:

Baltimore win and San Diego loss or tie ORBaltimore tie and San Diego loss

Chiefs Clinch Playoff Spot with:

Kansas City win and loss by Baltimore and loss or tie by Houston

Texans Clinch Playoff Spot with:

Houston win and losses by both Baltimore and San Diego



Week 17 NFC Scenarios

Cowboys Clinch Home-Field Advantage Throughout NFC with:

Dallas win and loss or tie by Arizona vs. San Francisco and Detroit vs. Green Bay tie OR Dallas win and win by Seattle vs. St. Louis and Detroit vs. Green Bay tie

Cowboys Clinch First-Round Bye with:

Dallas win and loss or tie by both Seattle and Arizona OR Dallas win and Detroit vs. Green Bay tie OR Seattle and Arizona both lose OR Dallas and Seattle both tie and Arizona loses or ties and Detroit vs. Green Bay does not end in a tie

Lions Clinch NFC North with:

Lions win or tie

Lions Clinch Home-Field Advantage Throughout NFC Playoffs with:

Lions win and Seattle loss or tie and Arizona loss or tie ORDetroit tie and losses by both Seattle and Arizona and Dallas loses or ties

Lions Clinch First-Round Bye with:

Detroit win OR Detroit tie and Dallas loss or tie OR Detroit tie and both Arizona and Seattle lose

Packers Clinch NFC North and First-Round Bye with:

Green Bay win

Packers Clinch Home-Field Advantage Throughout NFC Playoffs with:

Green Bay win and loss or tie by Seattle

Seahawks Clinch NFC West with:

Seattle win OR Seattle tie and loss or tie by Arizona ORArizona loss

Seahawks Clinch Home-Field Advantage Throughout NFC Playoffs with:

Seattle win and Detroit vs. Green Bay does not end in tie OR Seattle win and Dallas loss or tie OR Seattle tie and losses or ties by both Arizona and Dallas and Detroit vs. Green Bay tie

Seahawks Clinch First-Round Bye with:

Seattle win ORSeattle tie and Arizona loss or tie and Dallas loss OR Seattle tie and Arizona loss or tie and Detroit vs. Green Bay tie

Cardinals Clinch NFC West with:

Arizona win and Seattle loss or tie OR Arizona tie and Seattle loss

Cardinals Clinch Home-Field Advantage Throughout NFC Playoffs with:

Arizona win and Seattle and Green Bay both lose or tie OR Arizona tie and Seattle loss and Dallas loss or tie and Detroit vs. Green Bay tie

Cardinals Clinch First-Round Bye with:

Arizona win and Seattle loss or tie OR Arizona tie and Seattle loss and Dallas loss or tie OR Arizona tie and Seattle loss and Detroit vs. Green Bay tie

Panthers Clinch NFC South with:

Carolina win or tie vs. Atlanta

Falcons Clinch NFC South with:

Atlanta win


Three games feature divisional showdowns in which the winner takes the crown—the Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the Cincinnati Bengals, the Green Bay Packers hosting the Detroit Lions and the Atlanta Falcons hosting the Carolina Panthers.

I'm inclined to predict the home team will win in each contest.

For starters, Pittsburgh recently wiped the floor with the Bengals andBen Roethlisberger has been excellent at home this season, with 21 touchdown passes and just three interceptions in seven games in Pittsburgh (in contrast, he's thrown nine touchdown passes and five picks in eight road games).

Le'Veon Bell has the ability to exploit Cincinnati's suspect rush defense (23rd in the NFL) and Antonio Brown has been the league's best wide receiver this season. If this game ends up being a shootout—and it might—I'll take Big Ben and the Steelers offense over Andy Dalton any day.

Atlanta's combination of Matt Ryan and Julio Jones has been red hot down the stretch. Ryan has thrown for 300 or more yards in four straight games, while Jones has gone for over 100 receiving yards in his last three contests.

Atlanta also won the last matchup between these teams, a 19-17 game in Carolina. This game could truly go either way, given how hot Cam Newton has been in his last two games and the fact that Steven Jackson is likely out of action, but I'll take the red-hot Ryan in this contest.

Finally, the highlight of Sunday is between the Lions and the Packers.

I'm not betting against the Packers at home. Green Bay is a perfect 7-0 at Lambeau Field this season and led by likely MVP winner Aaron Rodgers, who has thrown for 4,155 yards, 36 touchdowns and just five interceptions on the year.

Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb have been the league's best duo at wide receiver, while Eddie Lacy has gone for over 100 yards from scrimmage in eight straight games and has 13 touchdowns on the season.

It also helps that Green Bay's defense has been dramatically improved this season, especially against the pass, holding opponents to just 228.1 passing yards per game, 10th in the NFL.

Of course, the Lions are no joke. Detroit's defensive line has been superb this season, and their defense has been excellent in general. Joique Bell has played well down the stretch, while the Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson duo is always capable of tipping a game in Detroit's favor.

But honestly, are you really going to bet against the Packers in Lambeau Field with a division title on the line after the season that Rodgers and the offense has had?

I'm not.



第 17週的結果:







故此出現了:



北卡羅連納州的野豹隊 Carolina Panthers,由於同組的隊伍不濟 竟然可以憑(7-8-1)勝不過半的低劣成績,僅僅多一場和波成為第四種籽壓倒 (7-9-0)的 紐奧連聖人隊 New Orleans Saints 入到季後賽。


AFC 美聯:
第一種籽 新英倫愛國者隊 New England Patriots (12-4-0)
第二種籽 丹佛野馬隊 Denver Broncos (12-4-0)
第三種籽 匹茲堡鋼人隊 Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5-0)
第四種籽 印第安納小馬隊 Indianapolis Colts (11-5-0)
第五種籽 辛辛納瑅孟加拉虎隊 Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1)
第六種籽 波瑅馬烏鴉隊隊 Baltimore Ravens(10-6-0)


NFC 國聯:
第一種籽 西雅圖海鷹隊 Seattle Seahawks(12-4-0)去屆的 盟主
第二種籽 綠灣包裝工隊 Green Bay Packers(12-4-0)
第三種籽 達拉斯牛仔隊 Dallas Cowboys(12-4-0)
第四種籽 北卡羅連納州野豹隊 Carolina Panthers (7-8-1)
第五種籽 阿里桑拿主教隊 Arizona Cardinals(11-5-0)
第六種籽 底特律獅隊 Detroit Lions (11-5-0)





Wildcard Week 外卡週




Bye Week 休息週 隊伍
AFC 美聯:
第一種籽 新英倫愛國者隊 New England Patriots (12-4-0)
第二種籽 丹佛野馬隊 Denver Broncos (12-4-0)

NFC 國聯:
第一種籽 西雅圖海鷹隊 Seattle Seahawks(12-4-0)去屆的 盟主
第二種籽 綠灣包裝工隊 Green Bay Packers(12-4-0)

January3-4兩天 外卡週 Wildcard Week (Winners in Red) 由


AFC 美聯:
第三種籽 匹茲堡鋼人隊 Pittsburgh Steelers(11-5-0)
賽果:17 vs 30
第六種籽 波瑅馬烏鴉隊隊 Baltimore Ravens(10-6-0)


第四種籽 印第安納小馬隊 Indianapolis Colts (11-5-0)
賽果:26 vs 10
第五種籽 辛辛納瑅孟加拉虎隊 Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1)


NFC 國聯:
第三種籽 達拉斯牛仔隊 Dallas Cowboys(12-4-0)
賽果:24 vs 20
第六種籽 底特律獅隊 Detroit Lions (11-5-0)


第四種籽 北卡羅連納州野豹隊 Carolina Panthers (7-8-1)
賽果:27 vs 16
第五種籽 阿里桑拿主教隊 Arizona Cardinals(11-5-0)


常規賽中 北卡羅連納州的野豹隊 Carolina Panthers,竟然可以憑(7-8-1)勝不過半的低劣成績,僅僅多一場和波成為第四種籽壓倒 (7-9-0)的 紐奧連聖人隊 New Orleans Saints 入到季後賽。不知道是好運還是留力得宜,第一場季後賽竟然把 阿里桑拿主教隊 Arizona Cardinals(11-5-0)踢了出局。



Divisional Week 分組週

January 10 -11

AFC 美聯:
第一種籽 新英倫愛國者隊 New England Patriots (12-4-0)
vs
第六種籽 波瑅馬烏鴉隊隊 Baltimore Ravens(10-6-0)

烏鴉隊 Ravens 是 愛國者隊 Patriots 的剋星,今次真的是冤家路窄兩隊又遇上了!


第二種籽 丹佛野馬隊 Denver Broncos (12-4-0)
vs
第四種籽 印第安納小馬隊 Indianapolis Colts (11-5-0)

野馬隊 Broncos 的四分衛 Peyton Manning 曾經是 小馬隊 Colts 贏得超級碗的主將,但頸部受傷要休息一季,他的位置被新的四分衛 Oliver Luck 取代,康復後唯有轉會到 野馬隊 Broncos,如今兩隊對決也即是 Manning vs Luck 的對決。



NFC 國聯:
第一種籽 西雅圖海鷹隊 Seattle Seahawks(12-4-0)去屆的盟主
vs
第四種籽 北卡羅連納州野豹隊 Carolina Panthers (7-8-1)

Panthers 會不會 繼續好運可以連去屆的盟主 Seahawks 都打敗呢?


第二種籽 綠灣包裝工隊 Green Bay Packers(12-4-0)
vs
第三種籽 達拉斯牛仔隊 Dallas Cowboys(12-4-0)

兩隊真的是旗鼓相當要打過至知到鹿死誰手!



之後有了賽果另篇遲些再談,現在轉去看看誰擔當 超級碗半場的大騷。


HALF Time Show

Katy Perry will perform on Feb 1 2015 Superbowl 49 Halftime and the NFL confirmed the announcement on November 23, 2014.




Superbowl 超級碗 也是個商品爭買廣告時間,定必各出奇謀競拍出新的廣告,企圖強搶市場佔有率。


這是前屆 Superbowl 47 的 Top 10




去屆 Superbowl 48 的 Superbowl Commercials







嗜悲 都好期待看看今年的 Superbowl 超級碗 冠軍誰屬?


伸延閱覽:
Superbowl 49 NFL.com
NFL Playoff Picture Week 17: Scenarios and Bracket bleacherreport.com
Road to Superbowl 超級碗 bracket NFL.com
Katy Perry will perform at Superbowl 超級碗 49 Halftime Show NFL.com




我的舊文:
2014 Superbowl 超級碗 48
Superbowl 49 2015 Feb 1 超級碗 - Part II
Superbowl 49 2015 Feb 1 超級碗 - Part III






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